There are some common misconceptions about the war that I feel the need to clarify. Namely what Russia’s objectives are and how this affects their military behavior and strategy.
This war is not just about taking land, it’s about complete demilitarization of the Ukrainian regime. After the war is over, Russia do not want NATO to have this military proxy with all this weaponry capable of advancing into Russia. They want to deplete NATO of their resources and eliminate the potential of the Ukrainian military posing any threats to their future security. This is why Russia are content to move methodically, and allow Ukraine to continue to advance into Russian entrenched positions where they can destroy the NATO equipment from a superior defensive position.
Once all the NATO equipment is neutralized and the Ukrainian army dwindled to nothing, Russia can claim all the land they like, without opposition. Many supporters claim Russia are not winning because they are not advancing. The same supporters are happy to report a few square miles of advances into grey zone, at the cost of 15k+ men and billions in weapons and vehicles.
So long as Ukraine are willing to suicidally charge into Russia’s fortifications, Russia will gladly sit and chip away at the Ukrainian forces and inflict unsustainable losses. If the status quo remains, Russia’s victory is guaranteed. Ukraine/NATO cannot continue this counter-offensive militarily, but Biden and Zelensky refuse to take the loss politically if they were to admit the highly publicized counter-offensive failed. So those saying the war is in a “stalemate” are flat out incorrect.
Russia are winning because Zelensky/Biden continue to malevolently send tens of thousands of men into the slaughter, in an attempt to ensure they are re-elected and retain power.